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Red70
657514.1
914622.6
477425.1
Blue27
918913.2
884412.5
650834.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645502040801001201407027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.11.2
22.824.1
Auto7.6
Teleop11.6
End6.0
blue by 9.0
34.22.8
23.120.3
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End5.1
Second
9146
#22
22.61.2
18.319.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End8.7
red by 9.4
9189
#32
13.22.8
12.810.0
Auto1.3
Teleop5.9
End6.0
Third
6575
#31
14.11.2
17.618.9
Auto5.2
Teleop4.4
End4.5
red by 1.6
8844
#34
12.52.8
16.513.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed