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Red40
558435.5
478824.8
64768.8
Blue69
651041.0
472916.9
914717.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696302040801001201401604069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.52.7
26.123.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End7.9
blue by 5.5
41.01.0
31.432.4
Auto11.8
Teleop21.7
End7.6
Second
4788
#24
24.82.7
26.924.3
Auto4.7
Teleop17.2
End2.9
red by 7.3
9147
#15
17.41.0
13.914.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.2
End5.7
Third
6476
#36
8.82.7
11.18.5
Auto0.5
Teleop2.9
End5.4
blue by 8.1
4729
#11
16.91.0
14.815.8
Auto2.4
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed