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Red15
999013.9
998611.7
650914.9
Blue10
930813.6
92758.8
652415.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5354204060801510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6509
#13
14.92.5
16.714.2
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.3
blue by 0.3
15.34.4
16.512.1
Auto1.2
Teleop14.0
End0.1
Second
13.92.5
10.27.8
Auto1.9
Teleop12.6
End-0.6
red by 0.3
13.61.3
13.612.3
Auto1.9
Teleop11.9
End-0.2
Third
9986
#12
11.72.5
10.27.8
Auto0.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.5
red by 2.9
9275
#15
8.83.5
8.812.3
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed