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Red32
998516.7
99886.9
711319.9
Blue36
99896.1
998718.5
919119.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445501001502002503003236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.91.1
16.515.4
Auto0.9
Teleop18.9
End0.1
red by 0.1
19.80.5
21.821.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
9985
#10
16.71.1
10.29.1
Auto1.8
Teleop15.4
End-0.5
blue by 1.8
18.50.7
10.29.5
Auto1.1
Teleop17.9
End-0.5
Third
9988
#16
6.91.1
10.29.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End-1.0
red by 0.8
9989
#14
6.10.7
10.29.5
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed