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Red73
478832.1
99896.1
999116.4
Blue28
998516.7
919018.7
999211.2
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503601001502007328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.11.1
31.532.6
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End1.3
red by 13.4
18.72.9
18.715.8
Auto2.3
Teleop16.0
End0.4
Second
16.41.9
10.212.1
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
blue by 0.3
9985
#10
16.70.9
9.18.2
Auto1.8
Teleop15.4
End-0.5
Third
9989
#14
6.11.9
9.511.4
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End-0.2
blue by 5.1
9992
#11
11.20.9
10.29.3
Auto1.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
14%Activation oddsMissed26%Activation oddsMissed