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Red14
919018.7
711319.9
998611.7
Blue13
99886.9
92758.8
999211.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424010203040501413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.92.1
12.310.2
Auto0.9
Teleop18.9
End0.1
red by 8.7
9992
#11
11.21.0
7.16.1
Auto1.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.3
Second
18.72.1
14.011.8
Auto2.3
Teleop16.0
End0.4
red by 9.9
9275
#15
8.81.0
8.37.3
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End0.2
Third
9986
#12
11.72.1
6.84.7
Auto0.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.5
red by 4.8
9988
#16
6.91.0
6.75.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
15%Activation oddsMissed16%Activation oddsMissed