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Red16
930813.6
99896.1
652415.3
Blue22
919119.8
999116.4
650914.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21290501001502002501622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.31.8
11.19.3
Auto1.2
Teleop14.0
End0.1
blue by 4.5
19.81.2
18.417.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
13.61.8
11.69.8
Auto1.9
Teleop11.9
End-0.2
blue by 2.8
16.41.9
9.87.9
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
Third
9989
#14
6.11.8
9.57.7
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End-0.2
blue by 8.8
6509
#13
14.91.9
11.09.1
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed16%Activation oddsMissed