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Red38
999116.4
92758.8
930813.6
Blue35
998718.5
919018.7
999013.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12240203040506070803835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.41.1
8.69.7
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
blue by 2.3
18.70.8
8.89.6
Auto2.3
Teleop16.0
End0.4
Second
13.61.1
9.310.4
Auto1.9
Teleop11.9
End-0.2
blue by 4.9
18.50.8
9.19.9
Auto1.1
Teleop17.9
End-0.5
Third
9275
#15
8.81.1
9.911.1
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End0.2
blue by 5.2
13.90.8
9.910.7
Auto1.9
Teleop12.6
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
8%Activation oddsMissed14%Activation oddsMissed