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Red34
999211.2
998611.7
478832.1
Blue14
919119.8
650914.9
99886.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432301001502003414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.10.6
32.431.8
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End1.3
red by 12.3
19.81.1
16.815.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
9986
#12
11.71.0
3.92.9
Auto0.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.5
blue by 3.2
6509
#13
14.91.9
8.97.0
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.3
Third
9992
#11
11.21.0
6.75.7
Auto1.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.3
red by 4.3
9988
#16
6.91.9
5.23.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsMissed17%Activation oddsMissed