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Red26
99896.1
999116.4
92758.8
Blue6
652415.3
998611.7
650914.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17650100150200250300350400266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.0
9.79.7
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
red by 1.1
15.31.6
10.28.7
Auto1.2
Teleop14.0
End0.1
Second
9275
#15
8.80.0
11.111.1
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End0.2
blue by 6.2
6509
#13
14.91.6
7.05.5
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.3
Third
9989
#14
6.10.0
5.25.2
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End-0.2
blue by 5.5
9986
#12
11.71.6
2.91.3
Auto0.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
7%Activation oddsMissed9%Activation oddsMissed