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Red39
998516.7
711319.9
652415.3
Blue38
99886.9
999211.2
999116.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19704060801001203938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.2
14.114.3
Auto0.9
Teleop18.9
End0.1
red by 3.5
16.41.8
9.511.4
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
Second
9985
#10
16.70.2
13.814.1
Auto1.8
Teleop15.4
End-0.5
red by 5.5
9992
#11
11.21.8
4.96.8
Auto1.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.3
Third
15.30.2
8.89.0
Auto1.2
Teleop14.0
End0.1
red by 8.3
9988
#16
6.91.8
-0.61.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed1%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
10%Activation oddsMissed6%Activation oddsMissed