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Red55
998718.5
650914.9
998516.7
Blue41
92758.8
919119.8
99886.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161204060801001205541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.51.6
14.416.0
Auto1.1
Teleop17.9
End-0.5
blue by 1.3
19.81.1
16.817.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
9985
#10
16.71.6
14.115.7
Auto1.8
Teleop15.4
End-0.5
red by 7.9
9275
#15
8.81.4
6.88.3
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End0.2
Third
6509
#13
14.91.6
8.29.9
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.3
red by 8.0
9988
#16
6.91.4
1.32.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
8%Activation oddsMissed11%Activation oddsMissed