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Red49
99886.9
998516.7
919018.7
Blue68
650914.9
652415.3
998611.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1617010304050604968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.7
15.616.3
Auto2.3
Teleop16.0
End0.4
red by 3.5
15.32.6
11.013.6
Auto1.2
Teleop14.0
End0.1
Second
9985
#10
16.70.7
15.015.7
Auto1.8
Teleop15.4
End-0.5
red by 1.7
6509
#13
14.92.6
9.912.5
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.3
Third
9988
#16
6.90.7
4.04.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End-1.0
blue by 4.8
9986
#12
11.72.4
9.812.2
Auto0.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
8%Activation oddsMissed6%Activation oddsMissed