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Red36
92758.8
998718.5
650914.9
Blue56
999116.4
711319.9
999211.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17240501001502002503003656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.1
17.117.0
Auto1.1
Teleop17.9
End-0.5
blue by 1.4
19.91.2
17.318.5
Auto0.9
Teleop18.9
End0.1
Second
6509
#13
14.90.1
12.512.4
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.3
blue by 1.4
16.41.2
12.713.9
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
Third
9275
#15
8.80.1
7.67.5
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End0.2
blue by 2.4
9992
#11
11.21.2
9.811.0
Auto1.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed1%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
8%Activation oddsMissed7%Activation oddsMissed