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Red56
930813.6
999013.9
919119.8
Blue54
652415.3
478832.1
99896.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293902060801001201401605654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.9
17.918.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.7
blue by 12.3
32.10.4
29.529.9
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End1.3
Second
13.91.0
12.313.3
Auto1.9
Teleop12.6
End-0.6
blue by 1.3
15.30.4
13.614.0
Auto1.2
Teleop14.0
End0.1
Third
13.61.0
11.912.9
Auto1.9
Teleop11.9
End-0.2
red by 7.5
9989
#14
6.10.4
5.55.9
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsEarned7%Activation oddsEarned