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Red41
652415.3
998718.5
99896.1
Blue52
919018.7
650914.9
92758.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132204060801004152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.3
17.017.3
Auto1.1
Teleop17.9
End-0.5
blue by 0.2
18.71.1
16.317.3
Auto2.3
Teleop16.0
End0.4
Second
15.30.3
14.014.3
Auto1.2
Teleop14.0
End0.1
red by 0.3
6509
#13
14.91.1
12.413.5
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.3
Third
9989
#14
6.10.3
5.96.1
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End-0.2
blue by 2.6
9275
#15
8.81.1
7.58.6
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
14%Activation oddsEarned8%Activation oddsMissed