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Red50
919119.8
999211.2
998516.7
Blue32
998611.7
999013.9
930813.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28220501001502002503005032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.0
18.918.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 5.9
13.90.8
13.312.6
Auto1.9
Teleop12.6
End-0.6
Second
9985
#10
16.70.0
15.715.7
Auto1.8
Teleop15.4
End-0.5
red by 3.1
13.60.8
12.912.1
Auto1.9
Teleop11.9
End-0.2
Third
9992
#11
11.20.0
11.011.0
Auto1.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.3
blue by 0.5
9986
#12
11.70.8
12.211.5
Auto0.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
10%Activation oddsMissed12%Activation oddsMissed