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Red66
711319.9
919018.7
999013.9
Blue64
999116.4
99886.9
478832.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323210204050606664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.91.2
18.519.7
Auto0.9
Teleop18.9
End0.1
blue by 12.2
32.11.0
29.930.9
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End1.3
Second
18.71.2
17.318.5
Auto2.3
Teleop16.0
End0.4
red by 2.3
16.41.0
13.914.9
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
Third
13.91.2
12.613.7
Auto1.9
Teleop12.6
End-0.6
red by 7.0
9988
#16
6.91.0
4.75.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsEarned6%Activation oddsEarned