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Red53
711319.9
999013.9
92758.8
Blue66
919018.7
998611.7
999211.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252430354050655366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.2
19.719.9
Auto0.9
Teleop18.9
End0.1
red by 1.2
18.70.4
18.218.6
Auto2.3
Teleop16.0
End0.4
Second
13.90.2
13.713.9
Auto1.9
Teleop12.6
End-0.6
red by 2.2
9986
#12
11.70.4
11.211.6
Auto0.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.5
Third
9275
#15
8.80.2
8.58.8
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End0.2
blue by 2.4
9992
#11
11.20.4
10.711.1
Auto1.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.3