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Red40
711319.9
999013.9
92758.8
Blue45
930813.6
999116.4
650914.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262004060801001201404045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.0
19.719.7
Auto0.9
Teleop18.9
End0.1
red by 3.5
16.40.1
14.915.0
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
Second
13.90.0
13.713.7
Auto1.9
Teleop12.6
End-0.6
blue by 1.0
6509
#13
14.90.1
13.513.6
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.3
Third
9275
#15
8.80.0
8.68.5
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End0.2
blue by 4.8
13.60.1
12.112.2
Auto1.9
Teleop11.9
End-0.2