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Red47
919018.7
998611.7
999211.2
Blue64
919119.8
998516.7
652415.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232601020304050604764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.1
18.618.7
Auto2.3
Teleop16.0
End0.4
blue by 1.1
19.80.3
19.519.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
9986
#12
11.70.1
11.611.7
Auto0.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.5
blue by 5.0
9985
#10
16.70.3
16.416.7
Auto1.8
Teleop15.4
End-0.5
Third
9992
#11
11.20.1
11.111.2
Auto1.9
Teleop9.6
End-0.3
blue by 4.0
15.30.3
15.015.3
Auto1.2
Teleop14.0
End0.1