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Red63
930813.6
999116.4
650914.9
Blue52
919119.8
998516.7
652415.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2224010304050606352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.5
15.315.8
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
blue by 3.4
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
6509
#13
14.90.5
13.814.3
Auto0.6
Teleop14.1
End0.3
blue by 1.7
9985
#10
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto1.8
Teleop15.4
End-0.5
Third
13.60.5
12.513.0
Auto1.9
Teleop11.9
End-0.2
blue by 1.7
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto1.2
Teleop14.0
End0.1