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Red77
266219.4
694725.7
635230.7
Blue107
414634.0
802128.1
744733.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669120408010012014077107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6352
#16
30.71.4
27.228.6
Auto9.6
Teleop12.8
End8.4
blue by 3.3
4146
#17
34.01.7
31.733.4
Auto11.9
Teleop17.9
End4.2
Second
6947
#11
25.71.4
17.619.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End9.5
blue by 8.0
7447
#12
33.71.7
25.427.0
Auto8.9
Teleop16.8
End8.0
Third
2662
#42
19.40.8
19.920.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.9
End6.3
blue by 8.7
8021
#23
28.12.8
24.827.6
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned