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Red125
301917.8
240339.5
186846.7
Blue110
742633.3
744733.7
683328.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102100708090110120130140125110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.7
43.844.5
Auto14.9
Teleop23.3
End8.4
red by 13.0
7447
#12
33.70.4
33.333.7
Auto8.9
Teleop16.8
End8.0
Second
39.50.7
36.737.3
Auto16.8
Teleop14.1
End8.7
red by 6.2
33.30.4
32.933.3
Auto11.8
Teleop13.4
End8.0
Third
3019
#37
17.80.7
14.915.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End6.4
blue by 10.2
6833
#18
28.00.4
27.628.0
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End7.5