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Red144
116522.5
49843.0
519956.9
Blue106
696831.2
641343.0
456521.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13695406080120160180200144106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.0
56.956.9
Auto12.3
Teleop35.3
End9.2
red by 13.9
43.00.3
42.642.9
Auto14.6
Teleop21.2
End7.1
Second
498
#4
43.00.0
43.043.1
Auto11.8
Teleop22.2
End9.1
red by 11.8
31.20.3
30.931.1
Auto5.6
Teleop19.7
End5.9
Third
1165
#31
22.50.0
22.522.6
Auto11.6
Teleop6.2
End4.8
red by 1.2
4565
#21
21.30.3
21.021.2
Auto9.1
Teleop4.7
End7.6