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Red128
301917.8
240339.5
186846.7
Blue81
247827.9
764531.8
394429.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10595608012014016018012881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.7
44.545.2
Auto14.9
Teleop23.3
End8.4
red by 14.9
31.80.2
32.031.8
Auto13.0
Teleop12.7
End6.1
Second
39.50.7
37.338.0
Auto16.8
Teleop14.1
End8.7
red by 9.7
3944
#13
29.80.2
30.029.8
Auto8.1
Teleop14.9
End6.7
Third
3019
#37
17.80.7
15.616.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End6.4
blue by 10.1
2478
#19
27.90.2
28.127.9
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2