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Red83
635230.7
694725.7
418325.2
Blue95
742633.3
808722.0
683328.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888775808590958395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6352
#16
30.70.2
30.930.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.8
End8.4
blue by 2.6
33.30.2
32.732.9
Auto11.8
Teleop13.4
End8.0
Second
6947
#11
25.70.2
25.925.7
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End9.5
blue by 2.3
6833
#18
28.00.2
27.527.6
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End7.5
Third
4183
#14
25.20.2
25.425.2
Auto7.4
Teleop9.9
End8.0
red by 3.2
8087
#15
22.00.2
21.922.0
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End9.5