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Red88
696831.2
641343.0
456521.3
Blue87
247827.9
764531.8
394429.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101964060801201401601808887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.1
42.542.3
Auto14.6
Teleop21.2
End7.1
red by 11.2
31.80.2
32.131.9
Auto13.0
Teleop12.7
End6.1
Second
31.20.1
30.730.6
Auto5.6
Teleop19.7
End5.9
red by 1.4
3944
#13
29.80.2
30.129.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.9
End6.7
Third
4565
#21
21.30.1
20.820.7
Auto9.1
Teleop4.7
End7.6
blue by 6.6
2478
#19
27.90.2
28.228.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2