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Red127
301917.8
240339.5
186846.7
Blue87
414634.0
513724.1
802128.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102915015020012787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.6
43.544.1
Auto14.9
Teleop23.3
End8.4
red by 12.7
4146
#17
34.00.0
34.134.1
Auto11.9
Teleop17.9
End4.2
Second
39.50.6
36.336.9
Auto16.8
Teleop14.1
End8.7
red by 11.4
8021
#23
28.10.0
28.228.2
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End4.0
Third
3019
#37
17.80.6
14.615.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End6.4
blue by 6.4
5137
#10
24.10.0
24.324.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End5.3