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Red53
394425.9
24497.7
775514.4
Blue78
385321.2
248635.6
998815.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635601001502002503003504005378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3944
#11
25.90.8
29.829.0
Auto9.7
Teleop8.6
End7.6
blue by 9.7
35.60.6
35.035.6
Auto9.0
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Second
7755
#13
14.40.7
13.212.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End6.0
blue by 6.8
3853
#10
21.20.6
16.417.0
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End4.1
Third
2449
#25
7.70.7
15.414.7
Auto3.4
Teleop0.4
End3.9
blue by 7.5
9988
#16
15.20.9
18.119.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned30%Activation oddsMissed