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Red110
683330.1
647933.2
641338.6
Blue13
116525.8
999612.8
998513.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1183805010015020011013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.6
36.337.0
Auto9.8
Teleop21.1
End7.7
red by 12.8
25.83.1
23.620.5
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End5.8
Second
33.20.6
32.733.3
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End9.3
red by 19.6
9985
#17
13.65.2
18.112.9
Auto1.3
Teleop8.1
End4.1
Third
30.10.6
31.532.1
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End7.7
red by 17.3
9996
#26
12.85.2
18.112.9
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned20%Activation oddsMissed