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Red42
999612.8
99899.0
247824.1
Blue100
116525.8
99135.0
999118.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4282010015020042100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#19
24.10.6
25.424.8
Auto3.4
Teleop15.2
End5.6
blue by 10.9
991
#8
35.01.1
34.435.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End7.7
Second
9996
#26
12.80.9
16.415.5
Auto1.7
Teleop6.5
End4.6
blue by 13.0
25.81.1
24.525.6
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End5.8
Third
9989
#23
9.00.9
8.67.6
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.3
End6.6
blue by 9.2
9991
#12
18.21.8
15.216.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.8
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed71%Activation oddsEarned