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Red83
999714.2
998513.6
248635.6
Blue115
641338.6
999420.9
770316.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5889015020025083115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.61.3
36.738.1
Auto9.0
Teleop18.9
End8.0
blue by 3.0
38.62.5
36.639.1
Auto9.8
Teleop21.1
End7.7
Second
9997
#24
14.22.2
13.715.9
Auto0.4
Teleop7.1
End6.6
blue by 6.7
20.94.2
16.420.6
Auto7.9
Teleop6.6
End6.3
Third
9985
#17
13.62.2
12.614.8
Auto1.3
Teleop8.1
End4.1
blue by 2.3
7703
#18
16.02.5
14.216.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned