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Red74
49841.0
905914.9
394425.9
Blue105
240338.6
998626.2
385321.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9578020030040050060070080074105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#15
41.00.7
41.641.0
Auto10.3
Teleop21.9
End8.9
red by 2.4
38.61.2
37.438.6
Auto10.8
Teleop19.0
End9.0
Second
3944
#11
25.90.7
26.625.9
Auto9.7
Teleop8.6
End7.6
blue by 0.3
26.21.9
24.326.2
Auto9.0
Teleop9.6
End7.5
Third
9059
#22
14.90.7
15.614.9
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End6.4
blue by 6.3
3853
#10
21.21.2
20.021.2
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned