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Red53
237522.7
301914.3
998712.2
Blue62
116524.5
49840.9
418318.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371070501502005362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2375
#24
22.70.3
22.422.7
Auto9.6
Teleop6.8
End6.2
blue by 18.2
498
#12
40.91.7
42.941.1
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End7.3
Second
3019
#29
14.30.3
14.014.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End4.6
blue by 10.2
1165
#15
24.51.7
25.123.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End5.8
Third
9987
#28
12.20.6
11.712.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 6.1
4183
#25
18.41.7
20.118.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsMissed