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Red102
247826.6
248639.5
999016.3
Blue67
266216.6
999418.8
770316.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8448020406010012014016010267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.51.4
38.539.8
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End10.0
red by 20.7
18.82.2
16.518.8
Auto8.1
Teleop4.8
End6.0
Second
26.61.4
24.125.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End7.2
red by 10.0
2662
#27
16.61.3
15.316.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End6.4
Third
9990
#26
16.32.3
14.016.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End5.4
blue by 0.1
7703
#20
16.41.3
15.116.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsEarned