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Red91
999811.3
647936.7
385323.6
Blue64
999716.3
998914.5
998824.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72280204060801001201401609164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.8
33.835.6
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End10.5
red by 12.7
9988
#10
24.11.8
20.322.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End6.3
Second
23.61.8
22.424.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.3
End4.5
red by 7.3
9997
#11
16.31.8
14.516.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End7.9
Third
9998
#19
11.32.9
8.311.3
Auto1.4
Teleop4.4
End5.7
blue by 3.2
9989
#17
14.51.8
12.614.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsEarned