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Red130
647936.7
641342.6
998824.1
Blue82
49840.9
635232.2
998513.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1019040608012014016013082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.5
41.441.9
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End8.4
red by 1.7
498
#12
40.90.1
41.141.0
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End7.3
Second
36.70.5
35.636.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End10.5
red by 4.6
32.20.1
32.332.2
Auto10.6
Teleop14.6
End7.3
Third
9988
#10
24.10.8
22.222.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End6.3
red by 10.7
9985
#23
13.40.2
13.713.6
Auto1.5
Teleop8.0
End4.0