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Red110
99139.3
116524.5
247826.6
Blue137
998824.1
641342.6
647936.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101100708090110120130110137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
#6
39.30.5
39.039.4
Auto11.6
Teleop19.7
End7.8
blue by 3.3
42.60.7
41.942.6
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End8.4
Second
26.60.5
26.326.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.0
End7.2
blue by 10.1
36.70.7
36.136.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End10.5
Third
1165
#15
24.50.5
24.224.7
Auto8.3
Teleop10.6
End5.8
red by 0.5
9988
#10
24.11.2
22.924.1
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End6.3