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Qual 302023 Arizona East Regional
Red45
441544.3
301910.6
385316.4
Blue111
764528.3
49835.9
247825.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81825060709010011045111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#3
44.32.1
41.0→38.9
Auto13.1
Teleop21.7
End9.5
red by 8.4
498
#2
35.92.0
28.5→30.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End7.8
Second
3853
#23
16.43.5
17.4→13.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End4.7
blue by 11.8
7645
#12
28.33.3
20.0→23.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.4
End6.6
Third
3019
#36
10.63.5
18.1→14.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End3.9
blue by 14.7
2478
#17
25.43.3
27.7→31.0
Auto6.0
Teleop13.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned