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Red71
207328.7
248632.3
414628.2
Blue86
909116.6
905917.5
603656.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9891501502007186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.31.3
32.030.7
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End8.0
blue by 23.7
56.00.0
52.452.4
Auto12.5
Teleop35.5
End8.0
Second
2073
#11
28.72.2
29.727.4
Auto9.3
Teleop14.3
End5.2
red by 11.2
9059
#24
17.50.1
18.218.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End9.3
Third
4146
#14
28.22.2
29.227.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.3
End6.0
red by 11.5
9091
#15
16.60.1
15.915.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsMissed