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Qual 322023 Arizona East Regional
Red105
116519.9
66818.7
212242.7
Blue61
456520.7
240324.7
505915.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78620204010012014010561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#6
42.71.9
42.6→44.5
Auto11.5
Teleop23.8
End7.4
red by 18.0
2403
#18
24.70.0
23.9→23.9
Auto10.5
Teleop8.9
End5.4
Second
1165
#13
19.93.2
17.5→20.6
Auto9.6
Teleop7.3
End3.0
blue by 0.8
4565
#21
20.70.0
21.1→21.2
Auto7.4
Teleop6.7
End6.6
Third
668
#26
18.73.2
11.4→14.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End7.6
red by 3.5
5059
#34
15.20.0
15.5→15.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsMissed