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Red76
692211.0
742632.5
413522.7
Blue40
696823.2
99120.9
244915.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6255203040507080901007640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.51.5
24.125.6
Auto10.2
Teleop15.1
End7.2
red by 9.3
6968
#25
23.21.3
19.618.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.7
End3.9
Second
4135
#19
22.71.5
20.321.8
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End5.6
red by 1.8
991
#27
20.91.3
17.516.2
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End6.5
Third
6922
#33
11.01.5
12.814.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End5.0
blue by 4.4
2449
#29
15.41.3
15.013.6
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsMissed