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Red94
284018.7
603656.0
101112.1
Blue98
641336.9
248632.3
775511.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions925801502009498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.9
47.948.8
Auto12.5
Teleop35.5
End8.0
red by 19.1
36.93.8
19.423.2
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.6
Second
2840
#30
18.71.3
17.318.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End5.9
blue by 13.6
32.32.5
23.325.9
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End8.0
Third
1011
#35
12.11.3
16.818.1
Auto2.2
Teleop8.2
End1.8
red by 0.5
7755
#32
11.73.8
16.119.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned