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Red106
301910.6
212242.7
414628.2
Blue22
66818.7
692211.0
244915.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7850020406010012014016010622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.72.4
35.237.6
Auto11.5
Teleop23.8
End7.4
red by 24.0
668
#26
18.73.8
17.113.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End7.6
Second
4146
#14
28.24.0
17.521.5
Auto9.9
Teleop12.3
End6.0
red by 12.8
2449
#29
15.43.8
17.013.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End4.0
Third
3019
#36
10.64.0
17.421.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End3.9
blue by 0.3
6922
#33
11.03.8
16.712.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed