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Red79
742632.5
441544.3
411116.5
Blue22
413522.7
505915.2
31873.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91480204060801001201401607922

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.30.1
39.139.0
Auto13.1
Teleop21.7
End9.5
red by 21.7
4135
#19
22.73.1
22.819.6
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End5.6
Second
32.50.1
26.326.2
Auto10.2
Teleop15.1
End7.2
red by 17.3
5059
#34
15.23.1
15.312.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Third
4111
#20
16.50.1
14.314.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
red by 13.0
3187
#37
3.63.1
12.29.1
Auto1.0
Teleop1.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed