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Red107
207328.7
99120.9
414628.2
Blue82
240324.7
116519.9
247825.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847320406010012014010782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#11
28.70.2
28.528.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.3
End5.2
red by 3.3
2478
#17
25.40.2
25.225.4
Auto6.0
Teleop13.2
End6.2
Second
4146
#14
28.20.2
28.028.2
Auto9.9
Teleop12.3
End6.0
red by 3.4
2403
#18
24.70.2
24.624.7
Auto10.5
Teleop8.9
End5.4
Third
991
#27
20.90.2
20.721.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End6.5
red by 1.0
1165
#13
19.90.2
19.719.9
Auto9.6
Teleop7.3
End3.0