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Red156
66818.7
265947.1
603656.0
Blue114
905917.5
441544.3
244340.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311066080120140160180200156114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.5
55.455.9
Auto12.5
Teleop35.5
End8.0
red by 11.6
44.30.2
44.644.9
Auto13.1
Teleop21.7
End9.5
Second
47.10.5
46.647.0
Auto12.4
Teleop27.4
End7.4
red by 7.0
40.10.2
40.440.7
Auto9.8
Teleop24.5
End5.8
Third
668
#26
18.70.5
18.118.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End7.6
red by 1.2
9059
#24
17.50.2
17.818.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End9.3