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Red86
207328.7
99120.9
414628.2
Blue114
49835.9
212242.7
456520.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80102406012014016086114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#11
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.3
End5.2
blue by 14.0
42.70.4
40.640.9
Auto11.5
Teleop23.8
End7.4
Second
4146
#14
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto9.9
Teleop12.3
End6.0
blue by 7.7
498
#2
35.90.4
33.834.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End7.8
Third
991
#27
20.90.0
21.020.9
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End6.5
red by 0.3
4565
#21
20.70.4
18.618.9
Auto7.4
Teleop6.7
End6.6