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Red53
456520.7
212242.7
49835.9
Blue101
414628.2
99120.9
207328.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087720406010012014016053101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.71.2
42.040.8
Auto11.5
Teleop23.8
End7.4
red by 14.0
2073
#11
28.70.4
28.128.6
Auto9.3
Teleop14.3
End5.2
Second
498
#2
35.91.2
35.234.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End7.8
red by 7.7
4146
#14
28.20.4
27.628.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.3
End6.0
Third
4565
#21
20.71.2
19.918.7
Auto7.4
Teleop6.7
End6.6
blue by 0.3
991
#27
20.90.4
20.420.8
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End6.5